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Credit ratings drop

On Friday 13 June 2014, South Africa’s credit rating was dropped by Standard & Poor.  Our credit rating is now BBB and that is the lowest investment grade rating that you can get – the next grade down is the so-called Junk Status which many investors will not invest in.  These credit ratings are very important because they ultimately decide at what interest rates other countries lend money to us and also assist overseas investors as to whether or not they want to invest in a country.  They rely on the credit ratings of the various credit agencies and they have basically all lowered their views of South Africa.  For example, Fitch Ratings already have a BBB rating for South Africa but they have changed their outlook for South Africa, which used to be stable, to negative.  

S&P said that they don’t believe South Africa will manage to undertake the major labour laws or economic reforms that are needed to boost growth in South Africa.  I realise that every time I write about labour laws, there are a lot of people who always write about how our laws are perfect and wonderful, but you need to see it from an international perspective.  International investors are not interested in the labour laws of South Africa and we will continue to chase away investment and will continue to have our credit ratings lowered until such time as the government stands up against the Unions and changes the law.  I am not optimistic about them doing it soon and nor are the credit agencies.  On the plus side, Brazil, India and Russia all have the same bad rating, but we used to be ahead of them.  Fitch said that amongst the problems with South Africa are strike activities, high pay demands as well as problems with electricity supply.  

Posted by Michael de Broglio on Friday 27-Jun-14 Share on Facebook   Tweet It

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Comments

Jade  said:
on Monday 30-Jun-14 04:09 PM
This isn't news. It has been coming for a while. South African business is not attractive when the wages are too high, the labour is too demanding, electricity is not always available and crime is rife (which in turn makes insurance more expensive).

As they say: " The path to hell is paved with good intentions".
Our labour law is a great symbol of many of our new laws born from the Constitution : idealistic, filled with good intention but in practice, largely problematic.

As is obvious from the consequences of the numerous lengthy strikes including that of AMCU, there is an urgent need to reform our labour laws. It was mentioned on the news recently that AMCU has threatened to react violently to any changes made to the LRA regarding striking.

But even in the unlikely event that trade unions do support the new reforms, I am not convinced that such amendments will make much of a difference. For example, they want to include that one must hold a pre-strike ballot to ensure that smaller groups cannot force the majority to strike. They will not be able to stop intimidation.

Elektra  said:
on Friday 27-Jun-14 04:59 PM
I think I'ts time for me to cut my losses and make a move while I am still young, make a life for myself, SOMEWHERE else.

Refilwe  said:
on Friday 27-Jun-14 04:56 PM
I agree with Angelique and Bianca. I personally do not see the ratings going up anytime soon.

Jessica  said:
on Friday 27-Jun-14 04:17 PM
WOW what could we expect from the ANC really??? This is no surprise....

Angelique  said:
on Friday 27-Jun-14 10:59 AM
This wasn't unexpected lets get real, everything is just going to 'junk level' in this country, sooner or later. Many people in power do not even have a matric so they most likely do not understand what this means never mind solutions to the problem. Another middle-income country with a diverse economy, but wide income disparities. Its tough because I read that one of the solutions could be raising property taxes so that the rich man pays more tax (thing is the tax becomes spending money for the government), then of course changing our labour laws, government spending to a minimum. Either way we suffer. You know what they say, when it rains, it pours.

Bianca R  said:
on Friday 27-Jun-14 10:27 AM
Not good news for South Africa. The strikes I think are mainly to blame for this. We can only hope that we are able to boost this rating up again.

Monique  said:
on Friday 27-Jun-14 09:53 AM
I completely agree with Sorea. No good labour laws will allow for strikes to continue for so long. And apparently there are more to come.

Sorea  said:
on Friday 27-Jun-14 09:48 AM
You cannot agree that our Labour laws are wonderful if it allows for strikes to continue so long that it affects our economy. And makes it an unattractive place for foreign investment. It boggles the mind.

david  said:
on Friday 27-Jun-14 09:36 AM
viva AMCU & Eskom, viva!!!

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Johannesburg based attorney specializing in personal injury matters including Road Accident Fund claims and medical negligence matters. My interests include golf, reading and the internet and the way it is constantly developing. I have a passion for life and a desire for less stress!
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